2021 Kentucky Derby
***8 Medina Spirit (RIP) – this horse has the juice, but I don’t think Baffert has the stuff this year
****MurphDerby did use its right to change its pick to the #8. While we wont disclose our winnings or losings we were not happy w the place.
Super Excited for Saturday. Derby is back to the first Saturday in May, when it belongs. Grab some bourbon and lets dance.
Very exciting field – we have 2 horses that are the heavy favorites but a lot of intriguing options. Pace should be from the outside causing some traffic in the middle / inside. First ¼ of a mile should under 23.5 seconds with the first ½ under 47 its not going to ruin anyone on the front and you will want to be on the pace. A good trip w a game performance could open this up to almost any of these beautiful beasts to get some roses on Saturday.
Let’s start with who doesn’t have a chance….
Glue Factory
2. Like the King – if he was the king… but he’s not
3. Brooklyn Strong – everyone knows I don’t go to Brooklyn
4. Keepmeinmind – why choose to the spell the name this way, why?
12. Helium – I mean, whatever.
13. Hidden Stash – this name plays, have to give him that. if he’s willing to share maybe he can make my ticket, but he won’t.
18 Super Stock – the next game stop
19 Soup and Sandwich – isn’t it half a sandwich and a soup? Which never has made sense to me as a lunch order. Its lunch – pick one – don’t be difficult.
20 Bourbonic – cool name for a bourbon or drinking bourbon. Im going to get bourbonic’d tonight. It plays.
PreTenders
6 O Besos – Son of Orb, Daughter of Hugs and Kisses – ok he’s out
7 Mandaloun – He will be on the pace and press but doesn’t have the juice
8 Medina Spirit – this horse has the juice, but I don’t think Baffert has the stuff this year
16 King Fury –glad one fury in the family wants to stay active. He’s more of a tommy than a Tyson.
17Highly Motivated – could he be apart of the early pace and catch an all time trip and hit the board? Maybe…. But prefer to lose my money elsewhere.
Let’s Talk Ponies
1 Known Agenda – Son of Curlin, being coached by Todd Pletcher, and has Irad Ortiz calling the pitches on Saturday. Any day that’s a combination that screams winner circle. Drawing the 1 post makes it A LOT more challenging.
5 Sainthood – What I should be awarded for writing these free Derby reports for 15+ years. Tough horse, has run in traffic and responded well, odds are going to be in our favor here. Use this horse carefully and use him wisely.
11 Dynamic One – My old nickname on the elementary school playground. I’d get pick first in everything – I could evade a tag, catch a ball, kick a larger ball, and tell yo mama jokes w the best of them. A Union Rag horse can play for me any day and w Jose Ortiz having the keys on Saturday DO is someone to keep your eyes on.
14 Essential Quality - Essential is a word that was used in 2020 more than any year in history (I have the data). Is that a sign? Could be. He’s a beast and this race should set up nicely for him to be on the lead and kick it in to 5th down the stretch. 2:1 are tough odds but isn’t undeserving.
9 Hot Rod Charlie (HRC) – Louisiana Derby winner adds extra spice to his Gumbo. Grey horse for the bet the grey crowd – losers. Trainer Doug Oniel has done it twice before w Murphy Derby favorites Nyquist and Ill Have Another so he will be game.
10 Midnight bourbon – I recently came to the realization that I don’t know if I really like bourbon. Its great w bitters and in cocktails. But straight bourbon? I don’t think so. MB offers the same complexity. A lot to like but will I ever pick it at a bar? Or to win the derby? I don’t think so.
15 Rock Your World – I love the San Anita Derby winner every year and this year is no different. Coming from the family of Candy Ride, he has the west coast speed that should give Rosario a nice trip and allow for him to ride to victory. At anything over 5:1 he’s a hammer.
$$$$ CHEDDAHHHHHH $$$$$$$$$
Win: Essential Quality
Place: Dynamic One
Show: Saint Hood
Love using EQ up top and getting funk in the exotics. Be safe and have fun!
-Murph Derby
***8 Medina Spirit (RIP) – this horse has the juice, but I don’t think Baffert has the stuff this year
****MurphDerby did use its right to change its pick to the #8. While we wont disclose our winnings or losings we were not happy w the place.
Super Excited for Saturday. Derby is back to the first Saturday in May, when it belongs. Grab some bourbon and lets dance.
Very exciting field – we have 2 horses that are the heavy favorites but a lot of intriguing options. Pace should be from the outside causing some traffic in the middle / inside. First ¼ of a mile should under 23.5 seconds with the first ½ under 47 its not going to ruin anyone on the front and you will want to be on the pace. A good trip w a game performance could open this up to almost any of these beautiful beasts to get some roses on Saturday.
Let’s start with who doesn’t have a chance….
Glue Factory
2. Like the King – if he was the king… but he’s not
3. Brooklyn Strong – everyone knows I don’t go to Brooklyn
4. Keepmeinmind – why choose to the spell the name this way, why?
12. Helium – I mean, whatever.
13. Hidden Stash – this name plays, have to give him that. if he’s willing to share maybe he can make my ticket, but he won’t.
18 Super Stock – the next game stop
19 Soup and Sandwich – isn’t it half a sandwich and a soup? Which never has made sense to me as a lunch order. Its lunch – pick one – don’t be difficult.
20 Bourbonic – cool name for a bourbon or drinking bourbon. Im going to get bourbonic’d tonight. It plays.
PreTenders
6 O Besos – Son of Orb, Daughter of Hugs and Kisses – ok he’s out
7 Mandaloun – He will be on the pace and press but doesn’t have the juice
8 Medina Spirit – this horse has the juice, but I don’t think Baffert has the stuff this year
16 King Fury –glad one fury in the family wants to stay active. He’s more of a tommy than a Tyson.
17Highly Motivated – could he be apart of the early pace and catch an all time trip and hit the board? Maybe…. But prefer to lose my money elsewhere.
Let’s Talk Ponies
1 Known Agenda – Son of Curlin, being coached by Todd Pletcher, and has Irad Ortiz calling the pitches on Saturday. Any day that’s a combination that screams winner circle. Drawing the 1 post makes it A LOT more challenging.
5 Sainthood – What I should be awarded for writing these free Derby reports for 15+ years. Tough horse, has run in traffic and responded well, odds are going to be in our favor here. Use this horse carefully and use him wisely.
11 Dynamic One – My old nickname on the elementary school playground. I’d get pick first in everything – I could evade a tag, catch a ball, kick a larger ball, and tell yo mama jokes w the best of them. A Union Rag horse can play for me any day and w Jose Ortiz having the keys on Saturday DO is someone to keep your eyes on.
14 Essential Quality - Essential is a word that was used in 2020 more than any year in history (I have the data). Is that a sign? Could be. He’s a beast and this race should set up nicely for him to be on the lead and kick it in to 5th down the stretch. 2:1 are tough odds but isn’t undeserving.
9 Hot Rod Charlie (HRC) – Louisiana Derby winner adds extra spice to his Gumbo. Grey horse for the bet the grey crowd – losers. Trainer Doug Oniel has done it twice before w Murphy Derby favorites Nyquist and Ill Have Another so he will be game.
10 Midnight bourbon – I recently came to the realization that I don’t know if I really like bourbon. Its great w bitters and in cocktails. But straight bourbon? I don’t think so. MB offers the same complexity. A lot to like but will I ever pick it at a bar? Or to win the derby? I don’t think so.
15 Rock Your World – I love the San Anita Derby winner every year and this year is no different. Coming from the family of Candy Ride, he has the west coast speed that should give Rosario a nice trip and allow for him to ride to victory. At anything over 5:1 he’s a hammer.
$$$$ CHEDDAHHHHHH $$$$$$$$$
Win: Essential Quality
Place: Dynamic One
Show: Saint Hood
Love using EQ up top and getting funk in the exotics. Be safe and have fun!
-Murph Derby