What a year…. The first Saturday in (May) September, a tradition like no other.
No suspense this year folks, it's Tiz the Law and only Tiz the Law to win this race. Further, its Honor A.P. and him alone to place. TLL IS a Saratoga horse, trained by local legend Barclay Tagg, and was future Saratoga Legend Bill Murphy’s Derby Pick months ago. Buckle up, let's chase some odds, and finish 2020 $$$trong.
Will we have the Derby pageantry? I suppose. Will there be juleps? Better be. Do you have the $$$$ picks? You do now.
throw away (don’t bet)
1.FINNICK THE FIERCE (50/1) – great name for a horse at medieval manor
3. ENFORCEABLE (30/1) – cancelled
4. STORM THE COURT (50/1) – storm chasers rip off
7. MONEY MOVES (30/1) – deep thoughts
8. SOUTH BEND (50/1) – named for the city, not the university
9. MR BIG NEWS (50/1) – have had too much “big news” this year
11. NECKER ISLAND (50/1) – try harder
12. SOLE VOLANTE (30/1) – name means flying sun, true story
14. WINNING IMPRESSION (50/1) - loser
Ehhhhhhh…
2. MAX PLAYER (30/1)
Sweet name bro, harddooooo! Has a knack for hitting the board, can’t not like trainer Asmussen, but he’s all name no horse. Small time player. Plays for FOE and not Jake’s Autobody.
5. MAJOR FED (50/1)
You don’t need a dot plot to see the mediocracy here. Ran a tough race to finish 2nd in Indiana, got a bad trip, Blah blah blah. Avoid any flashbacks and put $$$ elsewhere.
10. THOUSAND WORDS (15/1)
I remember when 140 characters were enough. Baffert horse, beat Honor A.P. last time out, good horse. If he is at 15/1 play him, but its 2020 he will probably drop 7:8 / 1. Will be around, but he’s all words no show (that’s a brilliant line).
18. AUTHENTIC (8/1)
· TRAINER: BOB BAFFERT,
· JOCKEY: JOHN VELAZQUEZ
· LIFETIME RECORD: 5-4-1-0
· MOST RECENT RACE: 1ST, HASKELL STAKES
High quality horse – Mitchell & Ness worthy. He’s going to be on the lead and while it has worked for him he’s fighting The Law & 16 other horses. If he can fight the itch and not take the lead it could set up differently, but it won’t.
15. NY TRAFFIC (20/1)
· TRAINER: SAFFIE JOSEPH
· JOCKEY: PACO LOPEZ
· LIFETIME RECORD: 9-2-3-2
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, HASKELL STAKES
I love NY Traffic, said no one ever. But for one day and one day only, we LOVE NY Traffic. He fought Authentic to the wire last time and if had the extra distance would have easily beat him. Has an off pace style that should play well with him being surrounded by the pace speed.
13. ATTACHMENT RATE (50/1)
· TRAINER: DALE ROMANS
· JOCKEY: JOE TALAMO
· LIFETIME RECORD: 8-1-3-1
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, ELLIS PARK DERBY
Not a winner, but his emails have a high attachment rate which I admire. In five stakes tries this year, he hasn’t won, but he’s been coming close and getting better every time. He chased Art Collector off a terrible trip to place at Ellis Park (AC would have been 2nd choice in Derby). At 50/1 he needs to be used to increase that profit rate.
Easy Cheddah $$$$
16. HONOR A.P. (5/1) = PLACE
· TRAINER: JOHN SHIRREFFS
· JOCKEY: MIKE SMITH
· LIFETIME RECORD: 5-2-3-0
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, SHARED BELIEF STAKES
Classic MurphDerby horse, great pedigree, eloquent name, and winner of Santa Anita Derby. Has what we like folks, unfortunately Tiz has what we love. He will sit back, give everyone else a chance, but will show what makes him MurphDerby worthy at the 4th turn. Unfortunately, he’s just a mid circuit judge and Tiz is the Law.
17. TIZ THE LAW (3-5) = WIN
· TRAINER: BARCLAY TAGG
· JOCKEY: MANNY FRANCO
· LIFETIME RECORD: 7-6-0-1
· MOST RECENT RACE: 1ST, TRAVERS STAKES
This will be historic. A heavy favorite, NY bred - from Saratoga no less, September race, etc…. Or it will be a historic loss. Tiz has the MurphDerby Tripple Julep guarantee – (never lost but never won).
What else is there to say about him? He’s won all four of his races this year. Smoked everyone at the Travers, easy work at the Belmont, yada yada. Great horse folks.
No suspense this year folks, it's Tiz the Law and only Tiz the Law to win this race. Further, its Honor A.P. and him alone to place. TLL IS a Saratoga horse, trained by local legend Barclay Tagg, and was future Saratoga Legend Bill Murphy’s Derby Pick months ago. Buckle up, let's chase some odds, and finish 2020 $$$trong.
Will we have the Derby pageantry? I suppose. Will there be juleps? Better be. Do you have the $$$$ picks? You do now.
throw away (don’t bet)
1.FINNICK THE FIERCE (50/1) – great name for a horse at medieval manor
3. ENFORCEABLE (30/1) – cancelled
4. STORM THE COURT (50/1) – storm chasers rip off
7. MONEY MOVES (30/1) – deep thoughts
8. SOUTH BEND (50/1) – named for the city, not the university
9. MR BIG NEWS (50/1) – have had too much “big news” this year
11. NECKER ISLAND (50/1) – try harder
12. SOLE VOLANTE (30/1) – name means flying sun, true story
14. WINNING IMPRESSION (50/1) - loser
Ehhhhhhh…
2. MAX PLAYER (30/1)
Sweet name bro, harddooooo! Has a knack for hitting the board, can’t not like trainer Asmussen, but he’s all name no horse. Small time player. Plays for FOE and not Jake’s Autobody.
5. MAJOR FED (50/1)
You don’t need a dot plot to see the mediocracy here. Ran a tough race to finish 2nd in Indiana, got a bad trip, Blah blah blah. Avoid any flashbacks and put $$$ elsewhere.
10. THOUSAND WORDS (15/1)
I remember when 140 characters were enough. Baffert horse, beat Honor A.P. last time out, good horse. If he is at 15/1 play him, but its 2020 he will probably drop 7:8 / 1. Will be around, but he’s all words no show (that’s a brilliant line).
18. AUTHENTIC (8/1)
· TRAINER: BOB BAFFERT,
· JOCKEY: JOHN VELAZQUEZ
· LIFETIME RECORD: 5-4-1-0
· MOST RECENT RACE: 1ST, HASKELL STAKES
High quality horse – Mitchell & Ness worthy. He’s going to be on the lead and while it has worked for him he’s fighting The Law & 16 other horses. If he can fight the itch and not take the lead it could set up differently, but it won’t.
15. NY TRAFFIC (20/1)
· TRAINER: SAFFIE JOSEPH
· JOCKEY: PACO LOPEZ
· LIFETIME RECORD: 9-2-3-2
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, HASKELL STAKES
I love NY Traffic, said no one ever. But for one day and one day only, we LOVE NY Traffic. He fought Authentic to the wire last time and if had the extra distance would have easily beat him. Has an off pace style that should play well with him being surrounded by the pace speed.
13. ATTACHMENT RATE (50/1)
· TRAINER: DALE ROMANS
· JOCKEY: JOE TALAMO
· LIFETIME RECORD: 8-1-3-1
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, ELLIS PARK DERBY
Not a winner, but his emails have a high attachment rate which I admire. In five stakes tries this year, he hasn’t won, but he’s been coming close and getting better every time. He chased Art Collector off a terrible trip to place at Ellis Park (AC would have been 2nd choice in Derby). At 50/1 he needs to be used to increase that profit rate.
Easy Cheddah $$$$
16. HONOR A.P. (5/1) = PLACE
· TRAINER: JOHN SHIRREFFS
· JOCKEY: MIKE SMITH
· LIFETIME RECORD: 5-2-3-0
· MOST RECENT RACE: 2ND, SHARED BELIEF STAKES
Classic MurphDerby horse, great pedigree, eloquent name, and winner of Santa Anita Derby. Has what we like folks, unfortunately Tiz has what we love. He will sit back, give everyone else a chance, but will show what makes him MurphDerby worthy at the 4th turn. Unfortunately, he’s just a mid circuit judge and Tiz is the Law.
17. TIZ THE LAW (3-5) = WIN
· TRAINER: BARCLAY TAGG
· JOCKEY: MANNY FRANCO
· LIFETIME RECORD: 7-6-0-1
· MOST RECENT RACE: 1ST, TRAVERS STAKES
This will be historic. A heavy favorite, NY bred - from Saratoga no less, September race, etc…. Or it will be a historic loss. Tiz has the MurphDerby Tripple Julep guarantee – (never lost but never won).
What else is there to say about him? He’s won all four of his races this year. Smoked everyone at the Travers, easy work at the Belmont, yada yada. Great horse folks.
- Win: Tiz the Law
- Place: Honor AP
- Show: NY Traffic